Burlington, Vermont – A sustained surge of arctic air is expected to dominate Vermont’s weather pattern from late January into early February, delivering well-below-normal temperatures while keeping snowfall opportunities limited across much of the state.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the Jan. 24–Feb. 6 outlook favors below-normal temperatures across New England with below-normal precipitation signals for northern Vermont. This pattern suppresses major storm development as cold, dry air remains firmly in place.
Northern Vermont, including Burlington, St. Albans, and the Northeast Kingdom, is likely to experience extended cold spells with overnight lows dropping well below seasonal averages. While occasional light snow or flurries are possible, the overall signal points toward fewer organized systems capable of producing significant accumulation. Central Vermont, including Montpelier and Barre, is expected to see similar conditions with dry stretches broken only by weak disturbances.
Southern Vermont, including Rutland and Bennington counties, may see slightly higher chances for passing snow showers, but widespread or heavy snow appears unlikely during this window. Travel impacts are expected to be limited, though icy conditions could develop during the coldest mornings.
The more active winter weather is expected to set up farther south across the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic, where arctic air interacts with increasing moisture. For Vermont, the primary concerns will be cold-related hazards such as frostbite risk, frozen pipes, and increased strain on heating systems.
Residents are encouraged to prepare for prolonged cold by checking heating equipment, insulating exposed plumbing, and using caution on untreated roads. Cold conditions are expected to persist into early February, with additional updates and advisories possible as the pattern evolves.
