Nashville, Tennessee – A stretch of milder air could bring an early taste of spring to Tennessee beginning Thursday, Feb. 26, as above-average temperatures settle across the state through Monday, March 2.
According to NOAA’s 6- to 10-day outlook issued Friday, above-normal temperatures are favored across much of the Tennessee Valley during the Thursday-to-Monday period, while precipitation trends near seasonal averages. That pattern supports comfortable afternoons without a strong signal for prolonged heavy rainfall.
Statewide, highs may climb into the mid-60s to low 70s across western and central Tennessee, including Memphis, Jackson and Nashville. In Chattanooga and Knoxville, afternoon temperatures could run 5 to 10 degrees above late-February averages, especially during peak sunshine. Even in higher elevations near the Cumberland Plateau, milder afternoons are expected, though cooler nights will continue.
Rainfall appears closer to typical late-winter levels, meaning passing systems are possible but widespread soaking rain is not strongly indicated at this time. Drivers along I-40 and I-24 should still watch for patchy morning fog in low-lying areas if skies clear overnight and winds remain light.
Residents can take advantage of the warmer stretch for outdoor plans but should remember that late-winter variability can still return quickly. The mild pattern is expected to hold through March 2, with additional updates if stronger systems develop across the Mid-South.
