Kansas City, Mo. – Residents across northern Missouri should keep an eye on the sky Monday evening as scattered thunderstorms could develop and continue into the overnight hours, with a few storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and hail.
According to the National Weather Service in Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, there is a 15% to 40% chance of thunderstorms developing Monday evening and persisting into Monday night. Much of northern and northeastern Missouri is included in a Level 1 of 5 (Marginal Risk) for severe weather, where isolated storms could briefly become severe.
The greatest potential for stronger storms extends from areas near St. Joseph, Maryville, Bethany and Trenton east toward Kirksville, with the risk also including portions of northeast Missouri near the Iowa and Illinois borders. Communities in and around the Kansas City metro, Leavenworth and Atchison could also see scattered thunderstorms, though the severe threat is expected to remain more isolated farther north.
The primary hazards with the strongest storms include damaging wind gusts capable of downing tree limbs and causing isolated power outages, along with hail that could damage vehicles and crops. While widespread severe weather is not expected, any storm that strengthens could create hazardous travel conditions during the evening commute and overnight.
Residents should monitor forecast updates throughout Monday, especially if they have outdoor plans or overnight travel. Have multiple ways to receive weather warnings and be prepared to move indoors quickly if a Severe Thunderstorm Warning is issued. Forecast confidence will continue to improve as storm development becomes clearer Monday afternoon.
