Columbus, OH — Ohio could see a high-impact winter storm this weekend, with snowfall totals ranging from modest to as much as 24 inches, depending on how far north the storm’s core tracks.
According to the National Weather Service in Pittsburgh and surrounding forecast offices, two primary storm scenarios remain in play as confidence increases ahead of the weekend system. Both scenarios bring snow to Ohio, but the difference lies in the storm’s northward reach and intensity.
In Scenario 1, the storm tracks farther south before curving north toward the Mid-Atlantic. Under this outcome, much of Ohio would see accumulating snow, generally 1 to 6 inches, with heavier totals focused farther south and east. This scenario is currently considered less likely, around 25%, but remains possible.
In Scenario 2, the storm tracks farther north up the spine of the Appalachians before redeveloping near the East Coast. This path would place central and eastern Ohio closer to the core of the system, opening the door for significant snowfall, potentially 12 to 24 inches, especially from southern and eastern Ohio into the Appalachian foothills. This scenario is currently assessed as the more likely outcome, near 75%, based on the latest model guidance.
Snow is expected to begin Saturday night, intensify Sunday, and continue into Monday, with cold temperatures ensuring that snow remains on roads and surfaces. The National Weather Service cautioned that travel impacts could be severe, particularly if the heavier-snow scenario materializes.
While no winter storm watch has been issued yet, forecasters say one is likely within the next 24 hours if trends continue. Probabilities for 6 inches or more of snow exceed 50% across much of Ohio, increasing toward eastern counties.
Residents are urged to begin preparations now by adjusting travel plans, stocking emergency supplies, and monitoring forecast updates. With cold conditions lingering after the storm, impacts could last well into next week.
Additional state-by-state scenario updates are expected as forecast confidence continues to increase.
