Kansas City, Missouri – A prolonged stretch of above-normal temperatures is expected to dominate the Heartland during the final week of July, with the hottest conditions centered across Kansas, Nebraska, Missouri, and surrounding states from July 26 through August 1. The pattern is expected to bring persistent summer heat, increasing the potential for high heat index values and elevated heat stress across the region.
According to the National Weather Service and the Climate Prediction Center’s 8- to 14-day temperature outlook, the Heartland is forecast to experience a 70% to 80% probability of above-normal temperatures, one of the highest confidence areas in the country. The outlook includes Kansas, Nebraska, Missouri, Iowa, and eastern Colorado, where a strong upper-level ridge is expected to keep temperatures running well above seasonal averages.
While the outlook does not provide specific daily temperatures, it strongly favors afternoon highs exceeding late July normals. In many locations, highs could climb into the 90s, with some areas approaching or exceeding the century mark if the ridge strengthens further. Humidity will also contribute to uncomfortable conditions, especially across Missouri and eastern Kansas.
Cities including Kansas City, Wichita, Omaha, Lincoln, Topeka, Columbia, St. Joseph, Grand Island, and Salina should prepare for increased cooling demands and prolonged periods of afternoon heat. Residents are encouraged to stay hydrated, limit strenuous outdoor activities during the hottest part of the day, wear lightweight clothing, and check on older adults, young children, and anyone without reliable air conditioning.
Although isolated thunderstorms may develop along the edge of the heat dome, they are expected to provide only brief relief before above-normal temperatures return. The Climate Prediction Center will continue refining the outlook as late July approaches, with additional updates expected throughout the week.
