Little Rock, Ark. – A warmer-than-normal start to March is setting up across Arkansas, with mild air favoring mostly rain from Sunday, March 1, through Thursday, March 5.
According to NOAA’s 6-10 day outlook issued Monday, Arkansas is favored to see above-normal temperatures during the March 1-5 stretch, while precipitation trends near to slightly above seasonal averages across the Lower Mississippi Valley. That warmer pattern sharply reduces the likelihood of widespread snow, with rain expected to be the dominant precipitation type statewide.
In central Arkansas, including Little Rock, Conway and Pine Bluff, passing rain showers are the most likely outcome as systems track across the region. Periods of steadier rainfall could create slick stretches along Interstate 30 and Interstate 40, particularly during the morning and evening commute.
Northwest Arkansas, including Fayetteville and Rogers, may see occasional rain showers, though temperatures are expected to remain warm enough to prevent any meaningful wintry mix. In eastern Arkansas, including Jonesboro and West Memphis, rain should dominate with minimal cold-weather concerns.
Drivers should remain alert for reduced visibility and ponding on roadways during heavier showers, especially in low-lying or flood-prone areas. With temperatures trending above normal, early March will feel more like early spring across much of the Natural State.
Additional refinements are expected later this week as the March 1-5 window approaches and system timing becomes clearer.
