Wilmington, NC – North Carolina residents could see a prolonged stretch of above-normal temperatures heading into early March, continuing a warming trend that began this week.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the Week 3–4 temperature outlook for February 28 through March 13, 2026, shows an increased probability of above-average temperatures across much of the Southeast, including nearly all of North Carolina. The strongest signals for warmer-than-normal conditions extend from Texas through the Gulf Coast and into the Carolinas.
Forecasters say the pattern favors milder daytime highs and potentially warmer overnight lows compared to seasonal averages. While the outlook does not guarantee specific temperatures, it indicates higher odds that readings will trend above normal for this time of year.
For North Carolina, average early March highs typically range from the upper 50s to mid-60s, depending on location. A warmer pattern could bring more frequent 60s and even low 70s on some days, especially across eastern and central portions of the state, including Wilmington and the greater Cape Fear region.
No major cold outbreaks are signaled during this period, though short-term fluctuations are still possible. Long-range outlooks focus on trends rather than daily forecasts.
Residents planning outdoor events, early planting, or travel should monitor local forecasts for more specific updates as the timeframe approaches.
Have you noticed the warmer afternoons already? How are you planning to take advantage of the milder stretch?
This article was produced by a journalist and may include AI-assisted input. All content is reviewed for accuracy and fairness.
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