Buffalo, NY – New Yorkers are waking up to gray skies and steady rain this morning as a brisk northeast wind sweeps through Erie County, dropping temperatures into the mid-40s. Roads across the metro area may be slick through the morning commute, with visibility occasionally reduced in heavier showers. Travelers should expect slower drive times on I-90 and Route 33 through mid-day as rain intensifies.
According to the National Weather Service, rain will continue through much of Thursday before tapering to scattered showers by Friday afternoon. Winds could gust up to 30 mph along the Lake Erie shoreline, adding a chill that signals Buffalo’s first real taste of late fall. Saturday will bring a brief break in the rain, but skies will stay mostly cloudy and temperatures will hover in the upper 40s.
By Sunday, residents can expect partly sunny conditions with highs near 51°F — a welcome reprieve before a fresh round of cooler air moves in next week. Overnight lows this weekend will dip into the mid-30s, cold enough for patchy frost in the suburbs and higher elevations.
Looking ahead to November, long-range models hint at the season’s first meaningful snow chances arriving between November 8 and 21 across western and northern New York. Early signs point to a typical “lake-effect flip” pattern, where cold Canadian air meets open lake waters — a reminder to check snow shovels, windshield wipers, and heating systems before the next cold wave arrives.





