Western New York Weather: Showers Today, Early Frost Risk by Midweek

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BUFFALO, N.Y. – Gray skies deepen over western New York this morning as a humid southwest breeze carries in the next round of soaking rain. Streets will turn slick by afternoon, and brief rumbles of thunder may punctuate heavier showers pushing off Lake Erie. With highs near 75°F before a sharp evening cooldown, drivers should expect ponding on I-90 and reduced visibility across Erie and Niagara counties.

According to the National Weather Service office in Buffalo, scattered thunderstorms will develop after midday Sunday before steadier rain settles in tonight. Gusts could top 30 mph as temperatures dip into the 40s, signaling the region’s shift toward late-fall chill. Monday stays unsettled but milder, with clouds breaking at times before another surge of rain late Tuesday.

Forecasters note that the air mass behind Tuesday’s system will turn brisk and noticeably cooler, with highs near 50°F by midweek. Lake-enhanced showers could linger Wednesday, and patchy frost is possible inland where skies briefly clear. Residents planning outdoor cleanup or early Halloween decorating should secure lightweight items, clear drains, and prepare for damp, colder mornings.

By Thursday, a classic October chill settles in — jacket weather returning for the school commute. Early indications hint at another weak system next weekend that might deliver the first few flakes over higher terrain south of Buffalo if overnight lows hover near freezing. After all, winter’s edge is inching closer.


Five-Day Forecast for Buffalo, NY:
Sun: 75/49 – Showers and thunder after 3 p.m.; gusty winds and slick roads.
Mon: 68/44 – Mostly cloudy; breezy and cooler late.
Tue: 60/44 – Showers likely; turning cooler with steady west winds.
Wed: 52/42 – Showers taper; breezy and chilly, patchy frost inland.
Thu: 51/39 – Mostly cloudy and cool; drier with light northwest breeze.

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