Western New York Weather: Mostly Sunny Skies Return to Buffalo by Saturday Morning — Prepare for an 83°F Weekend Warmup

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Five day forecast, Dawn sunny, clear skies, pink, and purple lots of trees
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Buffalo, N.Y. – Western New York is in for a stretch of classic summer weather, with rising temperatures, sun-filled skies, and just a slight chance of storms by Monday.

According to the National Weather Service, Buffalo will see mostly sunny skies Saturday, July 5, with a high near 83°F and a light southwest breeze of 3 to 8 mph. Conditions remain dry through Sunday, when temps climb further to 86°F and gusts may hit 21 mph — a potential factor for boaters along Lake Erie or drivers on I-190.

Humidity remains moderate, keeping heat index values manageable, though outdoor plans should include sun protection and hydration. Winds shift Monday, and a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms appears after 11 a.m., mainly over Erie County. Confidence remains low (20%) in rain chances, but residents should stay weather-aware, especially during outdoor gatherings or travel.

Calm, warm nights in the low 70s dominate through Tuesday, making for ideal evenings across Buffalo, Cheektowaga, and Amherst. Conditions stay mostly clear with little interruption.

By Wednesday, highs near 82°F persist, but a 30% chance of showers may arrive by evening, possibly affecting midweek commutes or park events.


🔎 Five-Day Outlook for Buffalo (July 5–10):

  • Saturday: Mostly sunny, high near 83°F. Light SW wind.
  • Sunday: Sunny, high near 86°F. Winds SW 7–10 mph, gusts to 21 mph.
  • Monday: Slight chance of T-storms after 11 a.m., high 82°F. West wind 7–9 mph.
  • Tuesday: Mostly sunny, high 81°F. Calm in the morning, NW breeze by afternoon.
  • Wednesday: Mostly sunny, high 82°F. 30% chance of evening showers.