Western New York Weather: Lake-Effect Rains Intensify; Up to 4 Inches Possible by Friday

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BUFFALO, New York – Gray skies stretch over Lake Erie this Wednesday morning, hiding sheets of rain that sweep steadily across western New York. Streets in Buffalo glisten under headlights as wind gusts push bands of lake-effect rain ashore—sometimes heavy enough to blur visibility and slow traffic along I-90 and Route 5. Forecasters warn the persistent pattern may last through Thursday night, with totals reaching several inches in some areas.

According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, heavy lake-effect rain will continue east of Lake Erie through Thursday, with rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches possible. Localized flooding could occur in low-lying or poorly drained spots, especially across northern Erie and Chautauqua Counties. Winds from the southwest, gusting 25–30 mph, will keep the lake bands locked in place before drier air gradually moves in Friday.

Drivers should allow extra travel time and watch for standing water during the Thursday morning commute. Rain may briefly mix with colder air late Thursday night, though forecasters say any early wintry precipitation will stay north and east toward the Tug Hill Plateau. Temperatures will hold in the lower 50s through Friday before dipping into the upper 30s under clearing skies.

By Saturday, showers taper as the region begins a welcome break in the pattern. The weekend brings partial sunshine and highs near 54 °F—perfect for fall outings once roads dry. Still, residents across western New York are keeping one eye on the lakes: after all, this kind of cold, wet pattern often marks the first step toward snow season.


Five-Day Forecast for Buffalo, NY:
Wed: 50/43 – Heavy rain, breezy; gusts to 30 mph.
Thu: 52/40 – Showers likely; localized flooding possible.
Fri: 52/38 – Rain ending; cloudy and cool.
Sat: 52/38 – Mostly cloudy; few lingering sprinkles.
Sun: 54/36 – Mostly sunny; light winds.

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