Buffalo, NY – Residents in western and northern New York should prepare for potential flooding risks this week as warming temperatures, snowmelt, and heavy rainfall combine to raise water levels.
According to the National Weather Service (NWS) in Buffalo, the greatest risk of flooding will be between Tuesday, March 5, and Thursday, March 7. Rising temperatures will accelerate snowmelt, while additional rainfall could worsen conditions, increasing the likelihood of river and creek flooding. Ice jams may also develop, especially along Buffalo-area creeks and Cattaraugus Creek, potentially leading to sudden water level rises.
While exact rainfall totals remain uncertain, NWS forecasters warn that even moderate precipitation could significantly impact flood-prone areas. Motorists are urged to avoid driving through flooded roads, as water depths can be deceptive and dangerous. Those in low-lying areas should monitor conditions closely and prepare emergency plans in case evacuations become necessary.
Looking ahead, Buffalo’s five-day forecast calls for cloudy skies and highs in the upper 40s through midweek, followed by cooler temperatures by Friday. Showers are likely Monday and Tuesday, with steadier rain possible by Wednesday. By the weekend, temperatures will drop, bringing a chance of mixed precipitation.
Officials recommend clearing drainage areas of debris and staying updated on flood alerts through the NWS and local emergency services.




