BUFFALO, N.Y. – Gray skies and gusty winds will set a restless tone across western New York as the first full week of November begins. Light showers and blustery gusts could make for slick roads and reduced visibility by Monday afternoon, especially along I-90 and Route 219. Early risers will feel that damp chill creeping in off Lake Erie — a sure sign that late-fall’s slow turn toward winter has arrived.
According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, winds may gust 40 to 45 mph Monday afternoon into evening as a weak cold front crosses the region. Light to moderate rain will accompany the gusts, with brief heavier bursts possible in the southern tier and along the Niagara Frontier. Commuters should plan for slower travel through the late afternoon and early evening, particularly in exposed areas west of Rochester and across Chautauqua Ridge. Power flickers are possible where stronger gusts line up with wet tree limbs.
Conditions ease quickly Monday night as the system pushes east, giving way to calmer skies and a crisp breeze by Tuesday morning. Sunshine returns Tuesday and Wednesday, though highs dip back to the upper 40s and low 50s — a seasonable stretch for early November. The late-week pattern favors scattered showers Wednesday night before drier, cooler weather takes over into the weekend.
Meteorologists continue monitoring weak La Niña conditions that may influence late-month trends. For now, western New York can expect typical fall swings — breezy starts, cool finishes, and the growing chance of the region’s first flakes before Thanksgiving.
Five-Day Forecast for Buffalo, NY:
Sun: 54/44 – Mostly sunny; calm early breeze, mild fall air.
Mon: 55/40 – Rain likely; breezy with gusts up to 45 mph.
Tue: 54/43 – Sunny; cooler with crisp northwest breeze.
Wed: 53/38 – Partly cloudy; showers late, gusts to 20 mph.
Thu: 49/37 – Mostly sunny; seasonable chill and dry skies.
