Richmond, VA — Virginia could see a significant to potentially historic winter storm this weekend, with snowfall totals ranging from modest accumulations to as much as 12 to 24 inches, depending on the final track of the storm system.
According to the National Weather Service, forecasters are evaluating two main storm scenarios, both of which would impact Virginia but with very different outcomes.
In Scenario 1, the storm tracks farther south before strengthening along the Southeast coast. Under this outcome, much of Virginia would remain on the northern fringe of the heaviest snow, resulting in lighter totals generally between 1 and 6 inches, with higher amounts confined to southern and southwestern portions of the state. Travel impacts would still be possible but more limited in scope.
In Scenario 2, the storm tracks farther north through the Tennessee Valley and into the Mid-Atlantic, placing central and northern Virginia much closer to the storm’s core. This scenario would significantly increase snowfall potential, with 12 to 24 inches possible across portions of central Virginia, including the Richmond metro area, and into northern Virginia and the Shenandoah Valley. Localized totals exceeding two feet could occur if a persistent heavy snow band develops.
Snow is expected to begin late Saturday, intensify Sunday, and continue into Monday, with cold air in place allowing snow to accumulate efficiently and linger on roads. The National Weather Service warned that travel could become extremely dangerous or impossible, especially during the heaviest snowfall rates.
Current guidance shows rapidly increasing probabilities for at least 6 inches of snow across much of Virginia, particularly from central Virginia northward if the northern-track scenario develops. While Winter Storm Watches have not yet been issued statewide, forecasters indicate watches are likely within the next 24 to 36 hours as confidence increases.
Residents are urged to prepare now by adjusting weekend travel plans, stocking food and emergency supplies, and ensuring vehicles and heating systems are ready. With cold temperatures expected to persist after the storm, impacts could last well into next week.
Additional Virginia-specific updates are expected as the storm track becomes clearer.
