Richmond, Virginia – Near-normal rainfall and well above-normal temperatures could impact Virginia Feb. 18-22, limiting winter weather risk statewide.
According to the National Weather Service 6-10 Day Outlook issued Thursday, Feb. 12, precipitation across Virginia is expected to remain near seasonal averages during the Feb. 18-22 period. However, temperatures are forecast to run 80-90% above normal probability, indicating a strong likelihood of milder-than-average conditions.
Most of the state, including Richmond, Virginia Beach and Norfolk, is expected to see primarily rain during any precipitation events. Northern Virginia, including Arlington and Fairfax, is also forecast to remain largely above freezing, reducing the potential for snow or ice.
Western Virginia, including Roanoke and higher elevations along the Blue Ridge Mountains, could see brief overnight mixing if temperatures dip temporarily. However, widespread winter precipitation is not currently projected.
The broader weather pattern supports heavier snowfall potential farther north across the Upper Midwest and interior Northeast. Across the Mid-Atlantic, the dominant trend remains mild with limited cold air intrusion.
For commuters and college students returning after President’s Day week, periodic rain showers could create slick travel conditions along Interstate 95, Interstate 64 and Interstate 81 corridors, particularly during morning and evening hours.
The National Weather Service notes that 6-10 day outlooks reflect probability trends rather than exact storm totals. Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts for refined rainfall timing and temperature details as the period approaches.
