Burlington, Vermont – Winter appears set to linger across Vermont as Groundhog Day tradition and seasonal climate guidance both point toward a slower transition into spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing the typical warm-up window closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, Vermont falls into an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That designation means no strong signal for either above- or below-normal temperatures, leaving room for late-season cold snaps, accumulating snow, and fluctuating conditions across the Green Mountains. Burlington, Montpelier, Rutland, and the Northeast Kingdom could all see winter weather persist well into March before any sustained moderation arrives.
Precipitation trends may be more impactful. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, much of New England, including Vermont, is favored for near to above-normal precipitation through early spring. That raises the likelihood of heavier snowfall during colder periods and mixed precipitation or rain during brief thaws, increasing travel hazards on mountain roads and the risk for localized flooding later in the season.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Thursday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter impacts may continue beyond those markers. Vermonters are encouraged to stay prepared for changing conditions, monitor local alerts, and expect winter advisories to remain possible into early spring.
