Burlington, Vermont – A warmer-than-normal and wetter pattern is setting up across Vermont heading into Valentine’s Day weekend, increasing the potential for rain, wet snow, and runoff-related travel issues from Saturday through midweek. While this is not signaling a single high-impact storm, the cumulative effects of above-normal precipitation could affect roads, drainage, and rivers across the state.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Vermont is favored for above-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures during the February 14–18 period. This combination raises the likelihood of mixed precipitation events, particularly in lower elevations, while mountain areas remain more susceptible to periods of wet snow.
In northwestern Vermont, including Burlington, St. Albans, and the Champlain Valley, warmer daytime temperatures may push precipitation toward rain at times, especially during daylight hours. Overnight cooling could still allow for brief snow or wintry mix, increasing the risk for slick roads during early morning travel along I-89 and Route 7.
Central Vermont communities such as Montpelier, Barre, and Randolph may see fluctuating precipitation types as temperatures hover near freezing. Repeated rounds of moisture could lead to slushy road conditions and ponding on poorly drained surfaces, particularly where snowpack remains.
In southern Vermont, including Rutland, Bennington, and Brattleboro, rainfall could become more dominant, raising concerns for localized runoff and rising streams. State emergency officials advise keeping storm drains clear and using caution near fast-moving water.
Air travel through Burlington International Airport may experience occasional delays during periods of steadier precipitation, though widespread cancellations are not anticipated. Utilities are monitoring the potential for wet snow accumulation at higher elevations, which can stress trees and power lines.
This warmer, wetter pattern is expected to persist into midweek. Additional advisories may be issued as individual systems become clearer, and residents are urged to stay alert for updates, especially if precipitation rates increase or temperatures trend cooler overnight.
