Vermont – Blue skies and warm summer air are giving the Champlain Valley a welcome break today, but don’t let the sunshine fool you. A much wetter pattern is lining up for the middle of the week, when repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms could bring heavy downpours and localized flooding across parts of Vermont and northern New York.
According to the National Weather Service in Burlington, no hazardous weather is expected today or tonight across Vermont and northern New York. However, forecasters say showers and thunderstorms will increase toward midweek, with the potential for scattered heavy downpours and localized flash flooding on Tuesday and Wednesday. Areas of northern New York remain especially vulnerable if multiple rounds of rain track over the same locations.
Around Burlington, skies stay mostly sunny through the afternoon with a high near 86 degrees and only a 30% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms this evening. Travel conditions along Interstates 89 and 91 should remain favorable for much of the day, though drivers may encounter isolated wet roads if an evening storm develops.
The weather pattern shifts noticeably by Tuesday as humidity increases and thunderstorms become more widespread. Rain coverage expands Tuesday night before a 70% chance of showers arrives Wednesday, when temperatures cool into the mid-70s. While widespread severe weather is not expected, repeated heavy rainfall could overwhelm poor drainage areas and produce localized flooding. Tornadoes are not the primary concern, but a few thunderstorms may become gusty.
By Thursday, additional showers remain likely before conditions gradually improve heading into Friday. Sunshine returns with temperatures climbing back into the lower 80s, offering a pleasant finish to the workweek after several unsettled days.
If you’re planning outdoor activities today, enjoy the dry weather while it lasts. Keep an eye on updated forecasts before traveling later this week, especially near streams, low-lying roads and flood-prone locations.
Looking farther ahead, the 6-to-10-day outlook favors above-normal temperatures, suggesting warmer summer weather could return after this brief stretch of cooler, wetter conditions.
Five-Day Forecast for Burlington, Vermont
- Today: Mostly sunny. High 86°. 30% chance of evening showers and thunderstorms.
- Tuesday: High 86°. 30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, increasing Tuesday night.
- Wednesday: High 76°. Showers likely (70% chance).
- Thursday: High 78°. Showers likely (60% chance).
- Friday: Mostly sunny with a high near 82°.





