Upstate New York November Weather: Rain, Wind, and a Sharp Late-Week Cooldown

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Rain and wind
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Albany, NY – A bright sunrise over the Hudson belies what’s brewing to the west — a sharp shift in weather that will sweep through Upstate New York by midweek. Today’s calm, cool air will give way to gusty winds, rain, and possible thunderstorms by Wednesday night, bringing a taste of early winter just days before the weekend.

The National Weather Service in Albany reports a mostly sunny and breezy day ahead, with highs in the mid-50s and gusts up to 35 mph. Skies turn cloudy later today as a strong frontal system organizes across the Great Lakes. By Wednesday afternoon, showers and isolated rumbles of thunder could move through the Capital Region, peaking late day into the night.

Winds will strengthen behind the front — northwest gusts up to 30 mph are likely through early Thursday, creating a brisk, colder feel across Rensselaer, Saratoga, and Albany Counties. Highs will drop from near 60°F Wednesday to the upper 40s by Thursday afternoon, signaling the start of a cooler, drier stretch into the weekend.

Friday remains mostly cloudy but calmer, with a few early showers possible. Temperatures hold near 52°F before dipping again at night. Looking ahead, a weaker system may return Saturday, bringing spotty rain and a chance for lake-effect showers north and west of the Mohawk Valley.

Early signs point to a colder, unsettled second week of November, with long-range models hinting at the first widespread frost and even a chance of flakes in higher elevations before Veterans Day. For now, residents should secure loose outdoor items, plan for slick commutes Wednesday evening, and brace for another classic upstate November flip — from mild to raw in less than 24 hours.