Upper Midwest Weather: Minneapolis–St. Paul Enjoys a November Thaw by Thursday

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ST. PAUL, Minnesota – A crisp, pale sky stretches across the Twin Cities before dawn, the kind of calm November morning where breath meets cold air in a brief white cloud. Temperatures sit near 30°F, with a light south breeze brushing across quiet streets. Today brings sunshine and slow warming, a welcome break after last week’s chill.

According to the National Weather Service in Chanhassen, highs today should reach near 48°F, with winds increasing from the southwest by late morning. Gusts could approach 30 mph, adding a brisk edge but helping usher in milder air for midweek. The day stays dry and bright — perfect for Veterans Day commemorations and morning travel across I-94 and I-35.

By Wednesday, temperatures climb into the 40s and low 50s, with more consistent sunshine and light winds. Thursday looks even warmer, topping out near 51°F under mostly sunny skies. It’s an early November warm-up that will stretch into Friday, keeping roads dry and commutes comfortable.

This weekend, however, a slight chance of rain returns Saturday night and Sunday, marking the start of a cooler, wetter transition as we move deeper into Thanksgiving season. Any wintry mix looks unlikely for now, though longer-range models hint at a possible “winter tease” before the holiday week begins.

Residents should take advantage of this stretch of calm, mild weather for yard cleanup, travel prep, or early outdoor decorating, as colder air will likely make a comeback before the month’s end.


Five-Day Outlook for Minneapolis–St. Paul, MN:
Tue: 48/33 – Mostly sunny; breezy afternoon.
Wed: 49/30 – Sunny; mild.
Thu: 51/35 – Mostly sunny; calm winds.
Fri: 50/48 – Sunny; late clouds.
Sat: 46/38 – 20% rain chance; cooler breeze late.