Upper Midwest Thunderstorm Threat: July 4th Fireworks at Risk from Heavy Rain

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Minneapolis, Minnesota – Fireworks displays across the Upper Midwest could fizzle Friday night as strong thunderstorms move into the region, bringing the threat of heavy rain, lightning, and possible flooding.

According to the National Weather Service’s Weather Prediction Center, scattered severe storms are expected from late afternoon through midnight, particularly across Minnesota, Iowa, and western Wisconsin. A swath of likely rain stretches from eastern South Dakota through central Minnesota, with the heaviest downpours forecast near the Twin Cities by 8 p.m. CDT.

High humidity and temperatures in the upper 80s will push heat indices into the 90s during the afternoon, creating an uncomfortable and potentially dangerous environment for outdoor gatherings. Cooling storms may offer relief—but at the cost of lightning risks and rapidly changing conditions.

In Minneapolis, public safety officials advise checking event updates and having a backup plan. “If thunder roars, go indoors,” emergency managers urge. Flash flooding is also possible in low-lying urban areas with poor drainage.

This marks the second straight July 4th with significant evening rain for portions of the region. Some cities may delay or cancel fireworks displays if conditions worsen.

Storms are expected to taper overnight, but more showers could return Saturday. Stay tuned to local alerts, and avoid outdoor activity during active thunderstorms.

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