U.S. Hurricane Season 2025: NOAA Predicts 19 Storms, Up to 5 Major Hurricanes

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2025 hurricane season
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Miami, Florida – The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season could bring as many as 19 named storms and up to five major hurricanes, according to a new outlook from NOAA released Thursday. With a 60% chance of above-normal activity, federal officials are urging coastal residents to prepare early.

According to NOAA’s National Weather Service, the season—which runs from June 1 to November 30—is expected to produce 13 to 19 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), including 6 to 10 hurricanes. Of those, 3 to 5 could become major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher), with winds exceeding 111 mph. NOAA says its confidence in these projections is 70%.

Cities along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts—including Miami, Houston, New Orleans, and Charleston—face elevated risk this season, especially with Atlantic Ocean temperatures running well above average. Emergency managers are also watching for a potential shift in the West African monsoon, which can fuel longer-track hurricanes.

NOAA is expanding real-time storm tracking tools and improving communications this year, including mobile alerts, Spanish-language forecasts, and a new experimental graphic showing where multiple storms may overlap. Officials stress the importance of updating emergency kits, reviewing evacuation routes, and having a storm plan in place.

Hurricane season begins June 1, with NOAA scheduled to issue an update in early August as conditions evolve.