Texas Weekend Weather Alert: Storm Chances and Heat Dominate Houston Through Monday, Relief Possible by Tuesday

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Heat and rain
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Houston, Texas – Scattered storms could cut into July 4th celebrations across Houston Friday afternoon, as a surge of Gulf moisture brings heat, humidity, and lightning risks.

According to the National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston, there’s a 40% chance of thunderstorms Thursday afternoon beginning around 1 p.m., especially impacting travel along I-45 and outdoor events in Harris County. Temperatures will climb to 94°F, but heat index values could soar as high as 106°F. Calm morning winds will pick up from the south around 5 mph by afternoon, increasing storm development potential.

Friday night and into the weekend, storm chances and humidity linger but skies clear slightly. Saturday remains partly sunny with a high near 93°F, offering brief relief for outdoor plans. However, rain chances return Sunday and ramp up by Monday, with a 50% chance of showers both days and continued highs in the low-to-mid 90s.

If you’re planning outdoor events or travel over the holiday weekend, avoid flooded streets during pop-up storms, drink water regularly, and limit exposure during peak afternoon heat. Storms may produce brief downpours and lightning, so have indoor options ready, especially during Thursday’s and Monday’s afternoon hours.

Five-Day Forecast: July 4 – July 9

  • Thursday: High 94°F | 40% chance of storms after 1 p.m. | Heat index 106°F
  • Friday (Independence Day): High 92°F | 20% storm chance after 1 p.m. | Mostly sunny
  • Saturday: High 93°F | Mostly sunny | Light south winds
  • Sunday: High 94°F | 30% chance of storms after 1 p.m. | Partly cloudy
  • Monday: High 92°F | 50% chance of storms | Increased cloud cover
  • Tuesday: High 93°F | 30% storm chance | Drier afternoon trend possible

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