Texas – The chance for heavier rainfall is increasing across parts of Texas during the January 7–13 period, according to the latest federal weather outlook, raising concerns for localized flooding and travel impacts across the state.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Texas is included in a broad region forecast for near- to above-normal precipitation during the 8–14 day window. In January, this pattern can support periods of moderate to heavy rain, particularly across eastern, southern, and central Texas as storm systems tap into Gulf moisture.
Much of Texas falls within the 33–50% probability range for above-normal precipitation, indicating a higher likelihood of multiple precipitation events rather than a single storm. While the outlook does not specify rainfall totals, the signal supports the potential for locally heavy rain, especially in areas prone to repeated rounds of precipitation.
Temperature outlooks for the same timeframe indicate near-normal temperatures statewide. This setup favors rain as the dominant precipitation type across most of Texas, with limited winter weather potential outside of far northern areas.
Heavier rain can have significant impacts in Texas due to urban development and flash-flood–prone terrain. Low-lying areas, creeks, bayous, and flood-prone roadways may be especially vulnerable to rapid runoff. Areas that have recently received rainfall could see elevated flooding risk if storms repeat over the same locations.
For commuters, students, and freight operators, increased heavy rain potential may lead to slick roads, reduced visibility, and sudden road closures. Major corridors including Interstate 10, Interstate 20, Interstate 35, Interstate 45, U.S. 59, and U.S. 290 may be affected during stronger rain events, particularly in metro areas such as Houston, Dallas–Fort Worth, Austin, and San Antonio.
Forecasters stress that 8–14 day outlooks reflect probability trends, not exact rainfall totals or timing. Residents are encouraged to monitor daily forecasts and updates from local National Weather Service offices as the period approaches.
No flood watches or warnings are currently in effect based solely on this outlook, but the developing signal supports heightened awareness for heavy rain and flooding impacts during the second week of January.
