Texas Panhandle Weather Update: 6 More Weeks of Winter? Feb–March–April 2026 Outlook for Amarillo, Dalhart

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Amarillo, Texas – Winter may still have unfinished business across the Texas Panhandle, as Groundhog Day tradition aligns with long-range climate signals pointing to a slower transition into spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing expectations for a dependable warm-up closer to mid-March.

According to the National Weather Service, the Texas Panhandle is included in a broader southern region favored for above-normal temperatures from February through April. Even with that warmer trend, the Panhandle remains vulnerable to sharp cold fronts, strong winds, and sudden temperature drops. Amarillo, Dalhart, Borger, and Pampa could still see brief winter outbreaks, including light snow, freezing mornings, and hazardous wind chills, especially during overnight hours.

Precipitation trends lean drier overall. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, much of Texas is favored for below-normal precipitation through early spring. For the Panhandle, that reduces the frequency of winter storms but increases the risk of dry, windy conditions that can elevate wildfire danger and create blowing dust during stronger fronts. Travel along I-40, U.S. 287, and Highway 87 can be impacted during high-wind events, even without precipitation.

While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter influences may still surface periodically. Panhandle residents are encouraged to stay alert for rapid weather changes, secure loose items ahead of wind events, and monitor updated advisories, as winter-like conditions can linger into early spring despite warmer seasonal trends.