Amarillo, TX – Residents across the Texas Panhandle may see a chance for light rain later this week as an upper-level system tracks across the southern U.S., though the overall setup remains uncertain. Forecasters say the speed of the system will determine whether the region receives meaningful precipitation between Tuesday and Friday.
According to the National Weather Service (NWS) in Amarillo, weather models currently favor a faster-moving storm system, which would significantly reduce the chances and amounts of rain across northern Texas. A quicker track typically limits moisture return from the south, resulting in lighter precipitation or even no measurable rainfall for many communities.
The potential system is expected to move through between November 18 and 21, with the best chances for showers currently focused on Thursday and Friday. As of Saturday’s update, models show only modest moisture support, meaning that even if rain develops, it will likely remain light. NWS notes, however, that long-range projections can change as the system approaches.
A slower-moving system would open the door for better moisture quality and higher rainfall potential, but that scenario is currently considered less likely. For now, residents should expect a generally dry start to the week with another update cycle expected from NWS in the coming days.
The Panhandle has experienced below-average precipitation in recent weeks, making even light rainfall beneficial for agriculture, wildfire danger, and soil moisture levels. Travelers and commuters should monitor updates, especially if the system slows and rain coverage increases.
