Houston, TX – Forecasters are keeping an eye on a tropical disturbance moving across the northwest Caribbean Sea that could bring weather impacts to parts of the Gulf Coast later this week.
According to the National Hurricane Center, the system is expected to cross the Yucatan Peninsula on Wednesday before emerging into the Bay of Campeche on Thursday. Development chances remain low, with a 20% likelihood over the next seven days. If the disturbance organizes, it would likely do so late this week into the weekend.
The National Weather Service in Lake Charles reports most forecast models suggest a weak system may move inland near the Texas-Mexico border Friday, influenced by an expanding high-pressure system over the northern Gulf Coast. Meteorologists emphasize that no significant impacts are expected across Southeast Texas or Southwest Louisiana at this time, but residents should continue to monitor forecasts.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Erin, located in the central Atlantic, is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane as it moves west-northwest toward the northeast of the Leeward Islands by the end of the week. Erin poses no immediate threat to the U.S. mainland.
A separate low-pressure area several hundred miles southeast of Nova Scotia is also being monitored. This system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, with minimal chances for tropical or subtropical development before moving over cooler waters.
Forecasters remind the public that hatched areas on tropical outlook maps indicate potential development zones, not projected storm paths. The Atlantic hurricane season runs through Nov. 30, and preparedness is encouraged even for low-probability events.
This article was produced by a journalist and may include AI-assisted input. All content is reviewed for accuracy and fairness.
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