Houston, Texas – A surge of springlike warmth is poised to expand across Texas in the Feb. 21–27 window, with temperatures strongly favored to run well above late-February averages statewide.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, much of Texas falls within a 70% to 80% probability zone for above-normal temperatures during the 8- to 14-day outlook. That signals a dominant warm pattern from the Panhandle to the Gulf Coast, with afternoon highs climbing several degrees above seasonal norms.
Rain chances remain present but are less pronounced than the temperature signal. The state sits in a 33% to 40% probability range for above-normal precipitation, meaning passing systems could bring rounds of showers. North Texas, including Dallas–Fort Worth, may see periodic rain, while Central Texas and the Hill Country could experience scattered showers with brief heavier bursts. Along the Gulf Coast, including Houston and Corpus Christi, moisture from the Gulf may support occasional rain, especially if storm systems track farther south.
Drivers should prepare for wet stretches along I-35, I-45 and I-10 during passing showers. Warmer air may also accelerate early vegetation growth and rising pollen levels across central and eastern Texas.
The overall pattern favors sustained warmth with occasional rain rather than a return to winter chill. Additional updates from the National Weather Service may refine rainfall timing as late February approaches.
