Nashville, Tennessee – Winter may not be finished across Tennessee, even as signs of spring begin to appear on the calendar. Groundhog Day tradition delivered a familiar message Monday morning, with Punxsutawney Phil seeing his shadow and signaling six more weeks of winter, pushing expectations for a consistent warm-up closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, Tennessee falls into an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That keeps the potential for late-season cold snaps and fluctuating conditions in play, especially during overnight and early morning hours. Middle and East Tennessee, including Nashville, Knoxville, and the Cumberland Plateau, could still see brief winter-like intrusions, while Memphis and West Tennessee may experience sharp swings between chilly rain and milder afternoons.
Precipitation is expected to be a more consistent concern. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, Tennessee is favored for above-normal precipitation through early spring. That increases the risk for repeated rain events, occasional wintry mixes during colder periods, and rising water levels along rivers and streams. Travel along corridors such as I-40, I-24, and I-75 could be impacted during heavier rain or brief cold snaps.
The Farmers’ Almanac notes that spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, visible across much of the eastern U.S. While sustained warmth may arrive gradually, Tennesseans should remain prepared for lingering winter variability, as additional advisories and unsettled conditions could continue into early spring.
