Tennessee Weather Alert: Rain Chances Increase Jan. 7–13 2026

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Tennessee – Rain chances are expected to increase across Tennessee during the January 7–13 period, according to the latest federal weather outlook, signaling a potentially wetter pattern across the Tennessee Valley.

According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Tennessee is included in a region forecast for near- to above-normal precipitation during the 8–14 day window. In January, this pattern supports multiple rounds of rainfall as storm systems move across the central and southeastern United States.

Much of Tennessee falls within the 33–50% probability range for above-normal precipitation, indicating an increased likelihood of several rain events rather than one prolonged system. West and middle Tennessee may see more frequent rain with passing frontal systems, while eastern Tennessee could experience periods of heavier rain as moisture interacts with higher terrain.

Temperature outlooks for the same timeframe indicate near-normal temperatures statewide. This setup favors rain as the primary precipitation type and limits the risk of winter weather impacts, though brief cool-downs may follow frontal passages, particularly in higher elevations.

For commuters, students, and freight operators, increased rain chances may lead to slick roads, reduced visibility, and slower travel during peak commute times. Major corridors including Interstate 40, Interstate 24, Interstate 65, Interstate 75, and key urban routes through Nashville, Memphis, Chattanooga, and Knoxville may be affected during heavier rainfall.

Forecasters emphasize that 8–14 day outlooks reflect probability trends, not specific rainfall totals or storm timing. Residents are encouraged to monitor daily forecasts and updates from local National Weather Service offices as the period approaches, especially if stronger systems develop.

No flood watches or rain-related advisories are currently in effect based solely on this outlook, but the signal supports increased awareness for wet-weather impacts during the second week of January.