Tennessee Weather Alert: Near-Freezing Valentine’s Day Forecast for Nashville With Rain and Snow Possible Feb. 14–20

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NASHVILLE, Tenn. — Tennessee is expected to see a temporary moderation in temperatures around Valentine’s Day, though winter weather concerns will continue as rain and snow chances linger across the state from Feb. 14 through Feb. 20.

High temperatures on Valentine’s Day are forecast to reach the mid-30s across much of Middle Tennessee, including Nashville, with southern areas occasionally climbing a few degrees above freezing during the afternoon. Overnight lows are expected to fall into the 20s, creating the potential for mixed precipitation as weak weather systems track through the region.

Forecast guidance points to an unsettled pattern throughout the period, favoring multiple chances for light precipitation rather than a single significant winter storm. Rain is more likely during daytime hours, especially across southern and western Tennessee, while snow or a rain-snow mix becomes more likely overnight and across higher elevations in East Tennessee as colder air moves back in.

While widespread heavy snowfall is not anticipated at this time, light accumulations remain possible, particularly in the higher terrain of the eastern mountains. Fluctuating temperatures could contribute to slick road conditions, especially during early morning and overnight hours. Bridges, overpasses and untreated secondary roads may become icy when temperatures dip below freezing.

Temperatures are expected to remain near seasonal averages through the remainder of the forecast period, with no sustained warmup indicated. Tennesseans planning Valentine’s Day weekend travel or outdoor activities should continue to monitor forecast updates, as minor temperature changes could affect precipitation type and travel conditions between Feb. 14 and Feb. 20.