Nashville, Tennessee – A warmer-than-normal and wetter weather pattern is expected to take hold across Tennessee heading into Valentine’s Day weekend, increasing the likelihood of rain, fog, and travel slowdowns from Saturday through midweek. While no single severe weather system is currently indicated, repeated rounds of moisture could create cumulative impacts on roads, rivers, and low-lying areas across the state.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Tennessee is favored for above-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures during the February 14–18 period. This setup supports mild daytime conditions while allowing multiple rain-producing systems to move through the Tennessee Valley.
In Middle Tennessee, including Nashville, Murfreesboro, and Clarksville, periods of steady rain could lead to ponding on roadways and reduced visibility along I-40, I-24, and I-65, particularly during overnight and early morning hours. Fog development is also possible as warm, moist air moves over cooler ground.
Across West Tennessee, including Memphis, Jackson, and Dyersburg, rain is expected to be the dominant precipitation type. Repeated rainfall could cause localized flooding in poor drainage areas and slower travel along I-40 and U.S. 51 during heavier showers.
In East Tennessee, including Knoxville, Chattanooga, and the Tri-Cities, temperatures may fluctuate enough overnight to allow brief rain-snow mix at higher elevations, though widespread winter impacts are not expected. Persistent rainfall could still lead to runoff issues in mountain valleys and along fast-responding streams.
The Tennessee Department of Transportation advises motorists to use caution during wet travel periods, especially overnight. Air travel through Nashville International Airport and Memphis International Airport may experience occasional delays tied to low ceilings or heavier rain, but widespread disruptions are not anticipated.
This warmer, wetter pattern is expected to persist into midweek. Additional advisories may be issued as individual systems become clearer, and residents are urged to stay alert for updated alerts, particularly during overnight and early morning travel windows.
