Nashville, Tennessee – A prolonged stretch of colder-than-normal weather is expected to take hold across Tennessee from Friday through early the following week, bringing sustained chilly conditions, freezing nights in many areas, and limited chances for widespread rain or snow.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14-day outlook for Jan. 30 through Feb. 5 places Tennessee within a high-confidence zone for below-normal temperatures. Much of the state falls within an 80 to 100 percent probability range for colder-than-average conditions as a broad cold pattern remains entrenched across the eastern United States.
High temperatures across Nashville, Memphis, Knoxville, Chattanooga, and Jackson are expected to run several degrees below seasonal averages. Overnight lows are likely to dip below freezing on a regular basis across Middle and East Tennessee, with colder readings common in higher elevations along the Cumberland Plateau and the Smoky Mountains. West Tennessee is also expected to see colder-than-normal conditions, with brisk days and chilly nights. The cold air mass extends from New England through the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast and pushes west into the Ohio Valley and Mississippi Valley.
Precipitation during this period is expected to trend below normal across most of Tennessee. The outlook favors drier-than-average conditions from the Midwest through the Southeast, limiting the potential for frequent rain or snow systems. While brief light snow, flurries, or a weak frontal passage cannot be ruled out, the overall pattern does not support repeated or impactful winter storms.
Near-normal precipitation is more likely across parts of the southern Plains and Southwest, while above-normal precipitation chances are focused mainly across Texas, Florida, and the Pacific Northwest.
Tennessee residents should prepare for an extended stretch of winter cold, protect pipes and pets during freezing nights, and remain cautious of icy conditions during overnight and early morning travel. Additional outlook updates may follow as the period approaches and confidence in local impacts increases.
