MEMPHIS, Tenn. – Warm, steady fall sunshine continues across the Mid-South this week, but the region faces a round of late-week storms that could interrupt weekend plans along the I-40 corridor. Highs will rise into the mid-80s through Friday under calm skies, ideal for outdoor projects, school games, and early Halloween events. By Saturday afternoon, however, the pattern shifts — thunderstorms may develop, bringing brief downpours and lightning concerns across Shelby County and nearby suburbs.
According to the National Weather Service in Memphis, a strong ridge of high pressure will keep skies clear through Thursday with light northeast winds. Afternoon highs will hover near 85°F, while humidity stays low and mornings start comfortably cool in the upper 50s. On Friday, a light south wind returns, pulling Gulf moisture back into western Tennessee. That moisture will fuel a 30–40% chance of showers and storms by Saturday, especially in areas along I-40 between Memphis and Jackson.
No severe weather is expected yet, but locally heavy rainfall could slow traffic on busy roadways and affect outdoor plans. Residents planning pumpkin patch visits or community festivals should aim for Thursday or Friday for the best weather. By Sunday, drier air returns with lower humidity and cooler highs in the low 70s — a classic late-October feel perfect for fall decorating or park visits.
Five-Day Forecast for Memphis, TN:
Tue: 83/57 – Sunny; calm northeast breeze.
Wed: 83/59 – Sunny and warm; ideal for outdoor plans.
Thu: 85/63 – Mostly sunny; light east wind.
Fri: 87/68 – Mostly sunny; turning more humid late.
Sat: 83/62 – PM storms possible; 40% rain chance.
