Nashville, TN – The Tennessee Valley is heading into a stretch of warmer-than-average and mostly dry weather from October 24 through October 28, 2025, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s latest 6–10 day outlook. Temperatures across Tennessee, northern Alabama, and parts of Mississippi are forecast to remain well above seasonal norms, while rainfall stays limited.
According to NOAA’s outlook issued October 18, a large ridge of high pressure anchored over the central and eastern U.S. will maintain a stable, mild air mass over the region. Daytime highs are expected to reach the upper 70s to low 80s, nearly 10 degrees above average for late October. Overnight lows will stay mild as well, reducing the typical autumn chill.
The precipitation forecast shows below to near-normal rainfall probabilities, with little sign of widespread wet weather. This means several consecutive days of sunshine and dry conditions—ideal for outdoor plans and harvest work but potentially extending short-term dryness in agricultural areas.
Meteorologists note this pattern fits the broader El Niño setup, which often delivers extended warmth and suppressed rainfall across the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys during autumn. The current outlook suggests that cooler, wetter conditions may not return until early November.
