Nashville, TN — Tennessee could be impacted by a significant winter storm this weekend, with snowfall totals ranging from minor accumulations to as much as 12 to 24 inches in a higher-end scenario, depending on the storm’s eventual track.
According to the National Weather Service, forecasters are now focused on two remaining storm scenarios, both capable of bringing snow to Tennessee, but with very different impacts across the state.
In Scenario 1, the storm tracks farther south before curving northeast. Under this outcome, Tennessee would be on the southern edge of the snow shield, with lighter accumulations, generally 1 to 4 inches, mainly across Middle and East Tennessee. Travel impacts would still be possible, but widespread disruption would be limited.
In Scenario 2, the storm tracks farther north through the Tennessee Valley before intensifying toward the Mid-Atlantic. This would place much of Tennessee closer to the storm’s core, significantly increasing snowfall potential. In this scenario, 6 to 12 inches of snow would be possible across large portions of Middle Tennessee, including the Nashville area, with locally higher totals approaching 18 to 24 inches in a narrow corridor if the heaviest snow band sets up over the state.
Snow is expected to begin late Saturday, intensify Sunday, and continue into Monday, with cold temperatures ensuring efficient accumulation. The National Weather Service warned that travel conditions could deteriorate rapidly, especially during heavier snowfall rates, and that impacts could linger due to prolonged cold.
Current guidance shows probabilities for at least 6 inches of snow increasing across Tennessee, particularly in Middle and East Tennessee if the northern-track scenario develops. While no Winter Storm Watch has been issued statewide yet, forecasters say one is likely within the next 24 to 36 hours if trends continue.
Residents are urged to prepare now by adjusting travel plans, stocking emergency supplies, and ensuring vehicles and homes are ready for winter conditions. With cold air persisting after the storm, impacts may last into next week.
Additional Tennessee-specific updates are expected as forecast confidence continues to improve.
