Tennessee Forecast Update: 50% Storm Chance Monday in Memphis — Stay Cool and Watch for Afternoon Lightning

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Memphis, Tenn. – High heat and scattered storms return to Tennessee on Monday, bringing a volatile mix of summer hazards to the Memphis area.

According to the National Weather Service, Monday, July 14th will see a 50% chance of thunderstorms after 1 p.m., paired with a heat index near 102°F. Temperatures will climb to 92°F under mostly sunny skies before clouds and moisture build into the afternoon. Winds from the southwest will range from 5 to 10 mph.

Drivers along U.S. 51 and I-240 should watch for sudden downpours and possible lightning during the afternoon commute. Rainfall totals may remain light, but isolated pockets could experience higher amounts. If you’re planning to be outside, limit exposure and hydrate frequently.

Tuesday offers similar conditions: another 50% chance of storms after 1 p.m., a high of 94°F, and muggy, unstable air. Heat will again challenge outdoor workers and vulnerable groups.

The rest of the week continues with scattered storm chances and intense summer heat:

  • Wednesday: 20% storm chance, high of 96°F
  • Thursday: Partly sunny, 30% chance of storms late, high of 96°F
  • Friday: A brief cooldown to 94°F, with a 20% storm chance

Expect mostly dry overnights, though clouds will linger. Keep an eye out for more summer weather alerts midweek as temperatures continue to climb. Next update expected Monday morning.


🌡️ 5-DAY OUTLOOK FOR MEMPHIS (JULY 14–18):

  • Monday: 92°F, PM storms likely (50%), humid
  • Tuesday: 94°F, PM storms (50%), hot and sticky
  • Wednesday: 96°F, slight storm chance (20%), breezy
  • Thursday: 96°F, storms possible after 1 a.m. (30%)
  • Friday: 94°F, partly sunny, isolated PM storms (20%)
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