Tampa, FL Weather: Slight Thunderstorm Chance Today, Clear Skies Return Monday

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TAMPA, Fla. – A hazy morning sunrise glows over Tampa Bay, cutting through light humidity and warm air that already hints at the high near 88°F. For now, the breeze feels steady and harmless — but scattered clouds gathering inland signal a few isolated showers later today, especially along I-275 and near Brandon.

According to the National Weather Service in Ruskin, a 20% chance of brief thunderstorms is possible this afternoon before the system drifts south. Any rain should stay short-lived, but gusts up to 15 mph may kick up ahead of passing cells. Drivers on local causeways should stay alert for quick downpours or wet pavement during late-day errands. Once the sun sets, skies clear quickly, setting up a calm, mild evening around 72°F.

By Monday, a strong ridge of high pressure slides over West Central Florida, locking in a stretch of sunshine that will dominate through much of the week. Highs will hover between 87°F and 89°F each day with light east winds. The pattern promises ideal conditions for outdoor cleanup, early Halloween decorating, or boating — though the sea breeze will build each afternoon.

Looking further ahead, late-week temperatures dip slightly into the mid-80s, signaling Florida’s first subtle nod toward fall comfort. With no strong fronts yet on the horizon, Tampa’s October ends bright, dry, and seasonably warm — perfect for sunset walks and football under calm skies.


Five-Day Forecast for Tampa, FL:
Sun: 88/72 – Mostly sunny; slight shower or storm late.
Mon: 88/70 – Sunny and dry; light northeast breeze.
Tue: 88/70 – Bright skies; near-record warmth possible.
Wed: 87/65 – Sunny; calm and pleasant afternoon.
Thu: 86/64 – Clear and mild; hint of fall warmth easing.

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