Tampa, FL Fall Weather Update: Afternoon Thunderstorms Likely Tuesday, September 23

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Tampa, FL – Florida’s first day of fall brings no break from the heat as Tampa braces for scattered thunderstorms Tuesday, September 23. Residents should prepare for hot conditions, storm chances, and possible delays on major roadways, including I-275 and I-4.

According to the National Weather Service, Tuesday’s high will reach near 92 degrees with heat index values as high as 102. Scattered thunderstorms are most likely after 2 p.m., creating hazardous driving conditions across Hillsborough County. Travelers should allow extra time and remain alert for rapidly changing weather.

Wednesday continues the storm trend with highs near 92 and storm chances holding steady around 30%. Thursday looks sunnier, offering brief relief, though isolated storms could still pop up in the afternoon.

By Friday, scattered showers return, and temperatures remain in the upper 80s to low 90s. Storm chances rise to 50% by evening, signaling an unsettled start to the weekend. Saturday holds similar conditions with highs near 88 and a 40% chance of thunderstorms.

Though fall officially begins this week, cooler weather is not yet in sight. Tampa residents can expect lingering humidity, strong sun, and daily storm risks through the week.

Five-Day Outlook (September 23–27)

  • Tuesday: High near 92. Storm chances 40%.
  • Wednesday: High near 92. Afternoon storms 30%.
  • Thursday: High near 92. Mostly sunny, isolated storms.
  • Friday: High near 90. Scattered storms 50%.
  • Saturday: High near 88. Thunderstorms likely, 40%.

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