Tampa Bay Thunderstorm Risk: Scattered Showers, 96°F Highs, and Travel Impacts Through Early Next Week

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Tampa, Florida – Sweltering heat and scattered thunderstorms will grip Tampa and surrounding Hillsborough County through the weekend, raising risks for outdoor activities and travel disruptions.

According to the National Weather Service, heat index values could soar as high as 106°F Saturday afternoon, with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms between 2 p.m. and 5 p.m. The active weather pattern continues into Sunday and Monday, with highs near 95°F, repeated afternoon storms, and a heat index over 104°F for much of the Tampa Bay area.

Residents in Tampa, Brandon, and Temple Terrace should expect the heaviest showers and potential lightning after 11 a.m. each day. West winds remain calm but may pick up during storm cells, leading to localized flooding on streets such as Dale Mabry Highway and Kennedy Boulevard. School and sports activities could face brief delays. Drivers are urged to avoid flooded roads and stay weather-aware during peak afternoon hours. To stay safe, limit outdoor time, drink plenty of water, and check local alerts for updates.

Storm chances persist through Tuesday, with conditions gradually improving midweek. Further advisories or heat warnings may follow if dangerous heat or storms continue.


Five Day Forecast for Tampa, Florida

  • Saturday: Scattered afternoon thunderstorms. High 94°F, heat index up to 106°F.
  • Sunday: Thunderstorms after 11 a.m. High 95°F. Heat index near 104°F.
  • Monday: Isolated storms in the afternoon. High 96°F. Heat index up to 105°F.
  • Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. High 96°F.
  • Wednesday: Showers and storms. High 97°F. Gradual improvement late in the day.