Springfield, MO – Missouri residents can expect a return to unseasonably warm temperatures later this month, following a brief cooldown toward the end of this week, according to the National Weather Service.
According to the National Weather Service in Springfield, Missouri, long-range outlooks for Sunday through Saturday, February 16–22, strongly favor above-normal temperatures across much of the state, including the Missouri Ozarks. Forecasters say ensemble temperature anomalies suggest readings could climb 8 to 10 degrees above seasonal averages during that period.
The Climate Prediction Center’s outlook assigns a 68% probability of above-normal temperatures for the Missouri Ozarks. Near-normal temperatures carry a 29% chance, while the likelihood of below-normal temperatures remains low at just 3%.
For context, normal high temperatures in mid-February typically range from the mid-40s to low 50s, with overnight lows in the upper 20s to low 30s. If the warmer pattern materializes, daytime highs could push well into the 50s or even low 60s in parts of southern Missouri.
Forecasters note that temperatures are expected to briefly trend closer to seasonal norms toward the end of this week before the warmer pattern redevelops. No significant cold air intrusions are currently indicated in extended guidance.
The warmer-than-average outlook could impact energy usage, outdoor planning, and early agricultural activity across southwest and south-central Missouri. However, officials caution that long-range forecasts show trends rather than exact daily temperatures and may shift as the period approaches.
Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts from the National Weather Service as the February outlook becomes more refined.
This article was produced by a journalist and may include AI-assisted input. All content is reviewed for accuracy and fairness.
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