Springfield, MO – A stretch of above-average temperatures is increasingly likely across southwest Missouri and the Ozarks during the February 11–17 period.
According to the National Weather Service in Springfield, forecast signals strongly favor warmer-than-normal conditions for mid-February. Climate outlooks indicate a 67 percent chance that temperatures will run above average across the Missouri Ozarks during this timeframe.
For Springfield and surrounding communities, average high temperatures for mid-February typically range from 44 to 50 degrees. Forecast guidance suggests highs may frequently meet or exceed that range, with overnight lows also trending milder than normal. In comparison, normal low temperatures for this time of year are generally in the mid to upper 20s.
The warming trend could reduce winter-related impacts such as icy roads and increased heating demand, especially along major travel corridors including I-44, U.S. Highway 65, and U.S. Highway 60. While no specific precipitation signals are highlighted in this outlook, residents are reminded that warmer temperatures do not eliminate the potential for passing systems or changing conditions.
The National Weather Service emphasized that this outlook reflects overall temperature trends rather than day-to-day forecasts. Short-term cold snaps remain possible, but the broader pattern favors milder weather across much of the central United States, including Missouri.
For drivers and commuters, the warmer pattern may improve travel conditions compared to earlier cold outbreaks this winter. Outdoor work, school activities, and construction schedules may also benefit from the reduced frequency of extreme cold.
Students, commuters, and young workers may notice more comfortable morning conditions during this period, particularly compared to recent stretches of below-normal temperatures.
Residents are encouraged to continue monitoring daily forecasts for specific temperature swings or precipitation chances as the February 11–17 period approaches. Longer-range outlooks will be refined as confidence increases.
