Springfield, Missouri – A sustained warming trend is expected across southwest Missouri, with temperatures rising well above seasonal averages through the middle of February.
According to the National Weather Service in Springfield, forecast signals strongly favor above-average temperatures from February 13 through February 19, following a gradual warm-up that begins late this week. Probabilistic outlooks show a 74 percent chance of above-normal temperatures, with only a minimal likelihood of below-average conditions during that period.
Normal high temperatures for mid-February in the region typically range from 45 to 51 degrees, with normal lows between 26 and 29 degrees. Forecast guidance suggests daily highs may frequently climb into the upper 50s, 60s, and potentially lower 70s, particularly early next week.
Short-term forecasts indicate temperatures will already run 5 to 10 degrees above average starting Friday. Daytime highs are expected to reach the upper 40s to low 60s through the weekend, followed by a more pronounced warm-up Monday and Tuesday. Overnight lows are also expected to moderate, reducing the risk of hard freezes.
Major travel corridors including Interstate 44, U.S. Highway 65, and U.S. Highway 60 may benefit from improved road conditions as warmer air limits ice formation and reduces cold-related vehicle issues during overnight and early morning hours.
While the warmer pattern is favored, the National Weather Service notes that late-winter variability remains possible, and brief temperature fluctuations can still occur. No significant winter weather impacts are currently indicated during the highlighted outlook period.
Residents are encouraged to stay updated on daily forecasts, especially if planning travel or outdoor work during the unseasonably mild stretch.
This warming trend may be particularly noticeable for commuters, students, and outdoor workers after an extended period of colder-than-normal conditions earlier this winter.
