Phoenix, Arizona – A warmer-than-normal and generally drier weather pattern is favored across the Southwest from Jan. 7 through Jan. 11, according to the latest outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
The 6–10 day temperature outlook shows above-normal temperatures are likely across Arizona, southern California, Nevada, Utah, and New Mexico. The strongest signal for warmth is centered over the Desert Southwest, where daytime highs are expected to run well above early January averages.
The 6–10 day precipitation outlook favors near- to below-normal precipitation across most of the region. This suggests fewer storm systems impacting the Southwest during the period, especially compared to typical midwinter conditions.
With limited moisture and warmer air in place, dry conditions are expected to dominate, particularly across desert and valley locations. Mountain areas could see occasional light precipitation, but no widespread rain or snow events are indicated in the outlook at this time.
The Climate Prediction Center emphasizes that these outlooks reflect broad regional trends rather than specific daily forecasts. Brief cooler periods or isolated systems remain possible, but the dominant signal points toward mild and quiet weather.
For commuters, outdoor workers, and travelers along major corridors such as I-10, I-15, and I-40, the pattern supports generally favorable travel conditions, though temperature swings between day and night may still be noticeable.
Fire weather concerns could gradually increase if dry conditions persist, particularly in areas experiencing gusty winds and low humidity later in the period.
Residents across the Southwest are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts from the National Weather Service as the Jan. 7–11 window approaches and forecast confidence continues to improve.
