Southern Arizona Weather Update: Sunshine Dominates Today, Thunderstorms Risk by Thursday Night

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Tucson, AZ – Early fall in Southern Arizona is turning up the heat again, with highs near 98°F expected through midweek before storm chances return Thursday. Residents should prepare for strong sun exposure, increased UV levels, and possible afternoon thunderstorms as the week progresses. Outdoor workers and festival planners should plan hydration breaks and secure outdoor decorations ahead of Thursday evening’s potential storms.

According to the National Weather Service in Tucson, Tuesday and Wednesday will stay mostly sunny, with highs pushing the upper 90s and light southeast winds. By Thursday, October 9, conditions shift—scattered thunderstorms are likely after 11 a.m., continuing into the evening as moisture increases across Pima County. Rain chances sit near 30%, with gusty winds and localized lightning possible during peak afternoon hours.

Friday continues the unsettled pattern, with additional storm chances and slightly cooler highs near 88°F. The weekend looks partly sunny, still carrying a 30% chance of showers but more seasonal temperatures returning in the mid-80s—perfect for early Halloween decorating or pumpkin patch visits.

Five-Day Forecast (Tucson, AZ):

  • Tuesday: Sunny, high near 98°F.
  • Wednesday: Mostly sunny, high 98°F, 10% chance of storms.
  • Thursday: 30% chance of thunderstorms, high 95°F.
  • Friday: Partly sunny, 30% chance of storms, high 88°F.
  • Saturday: Partly sunny, 30% chance of showers, high 86°F.