Nashville, Tennessee – A strong surge of Arctic air is expected to move into Tennessee beginning Thursday, bringing a sharp increase in freezing temperatures and widespread frost concerns across the state while precipitation chances remain lower than normal through early next week.
According to the National Weather Service and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, Tennessee is forecast to see below-normal precipitation through Monday, keeping rain chances limited. However, temperatures are expected to fall well below seasonal averages, setting the stage for multiple nights of freezing conditions and cold daytime temperatures.
Middle Tennessee, including Nashville, Murfreesboro, Franklin, and Lebanon, is expected to see several overnight periods where temperatures drop to or below freezing. Sub-freezing conditions may last for hours at a time, increasing concerns for exposed pipes, pets, and sensitive vegetation. Clear skies and lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall quickly after sunset.
West Tennessee, including Memphis, Jackson, and Dyersburg, is also expected to experience an elevated freeze risk. While daytime highs may briefly recover, overnight lows will fall sharply, allowing widespread frost to develop, particularly in rural and low-lying areas.
East Tennessee, including Knoxville, Oak Ridge, and the Tri-Cities region, will see some of the coldest temperatures in the state due to elevation and terrain. Repeated freezing nights are likely, increasing cold-related risks for infrastructure and agriculture.
Daytime highs statewide are expected to remain suppressed, often struggling to reach seasonal norms. Wind chills may make conditions feel colder during the morning hours, especially across open and elevated areas.
Despite the dry pattern, isolated slick spots could develop on bridges and elevated roadways during the coldest mornings along Interstate 40, Interstate 24, Interstate 65, and Interstate 75.
Residents are urged to take cold-weather precautions, including protecting pipes, plants, and pets, and checking on vulnerable neighbors. This dry but unusually cold pattern is expected to persist into early next week, with freeze watches or warnings likely as confidence increases.
