South Texas Winter 2025: La Niña Points to Warm, Dry Season Through February

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SAN ANTONIO – South Texas may face a warmer, drier winter this year, as La Niña strengthens and shifts the storm track farther north. That setup could mean limited rainfall through February, raising drought concerns and reducing the chances for significant cold spells across the region.

According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, La Niña winters typically bring below-normal precipitation to southern Texas, with temperatures trending above average. That pattern is likely to impact cities including San Antonio, Corpus Christi, and Brownsville, where rainfall deficits could grow if the dry streak lingers. The Farmers’ Almanac adds that while the occasional cold front is possible, overall conditions will be milder than average.

Agricultural producers and ranchers across South Texas are already bracing for the dry outlook, as winter crops and grazing lands could suffer if rainfall remains scarce. Water utilities are also preparing for reservoir levels to drop, with the Edwards Aquifer and other sources under closer monitoring.

With La Niña projected to hold into February, residents should anticipate a winter marked by long dry stretches, warmer days, and an elevated risk of drought heading into spring.