Cape Girardeau, MO – Southeast Missouri residents may be facing a snowier winter than usual as the 2025-26 Winter Weather Outlook highlights an elevated risk of heavy snowfall and stronger storms between December and February.
According to the National Weather Service (NWS) Climate Prediction Center, weak La Niña conditions are developing this fall, expected to transition to a neutral phase by mid-winter. Historically, this type of setup often brings colder air masses and more frequent storm tracks through the lower Midwest and Ohio Valley. For southeast Missouri, that could mean more snow events and the possibility of disruptive blizzards.
Meteorologists emphasize that this forecast is preliminary and subject to change. Short-term atmospheric factors—such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)—can dramatically shift local weather patterns. These systems can quickly turn mild conditions into periods of intense cold and heavy snow.
Still, the overall signal points toward a greater chance of above-average snowfall across the region. Communities along the Mississippi River, including Cape Girardeau, Sikeston, and Poplar Bluff, could see multiple impactful snow and ice storms. While southern Missouri often experiences mixed precipitation, forecasters caution that this winter’s setup may favor more snow than rain compared to recent years.
Past winters with similar conditions show just how varied outcomes can be. Some years brought only a handful of measurable snow events, while others produced multiple storms that shut down major roads and closed schools for days. This variability underscores why officials are urging residents to prepare now, even before the official forecast release.
Travel disruptions are expected to be among the most significant impacts. Major routes, including I-55, U.S. 60, and U.S. 67, could see closures and lengthy delays during storm periods. Hazardous conditions are most likely during January and February, when winter systems are typically strongest across the Midwest.
The official winter forecast will be issued October 16, but emergency managers are already encouraging residents to prepare. Homeowners should check heating systems, stock up on salt and shovels, and make sure roofs and gutters are winter-ready. Drivers are advised to winterize vehicles and carry blankets, food, and water in case of breakdowns or extended travel delays.
