Raleigh, North Carolina — Forecast models are showing a growing chance for light snow in the Raleigh area late Saturday night through Sunday, though confidence on impacts remains limited.
According to the National Weather Service in Raleigh, nearly 100 weather model simulations indicate an increasing probability of at least 0.5 inch of snow across parts of central North Carolina, including the Raleigh metro. The potential window for snow currently spans from late Saturday night through Sunday afternoon.
Forecasters noted that the chance for accumulating snow has modestly increased compared to earlier forecasts, but emphasized that cold air availability remains the primary limiting factor. If colder air does not fully lock in, snowfall amounts could remain light or transition to mixed precipitation.
At this stage, probabilities — not totals — are being highlighted. Some areas near Raleigh fall within a 30–60% chance range of seeing at least 0.5 inch of snow, while higher probabilities remain closer to the Virginia border. Small shifts in storm track or temperature profiles could still significantly change outcomes.
The National Weather Service stressed that forecast details will continue to evolve over the coming days as models better resolve:
- The exact storm track
- The timing of precipitation
- The availability of cold air at the surface
Residents with weekend travel plans should monitor updates, as even light snow could impact road conditions Sunday morning or afternoon if temperatures remain near freezing.
This outlook is especially relevant for commuters, students, and service workers, as any accumulation could affect Sunday travel and early Monday preparations.
