Oklahoma Weather Alert: Warm Up Builds Across the State Feb. 4–10 With 30–60% Confidence

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Oklahoma City, Oklahoma – A gradual warming trend is expected to take shape across Oklahoma during the first full week of February, as milder air begins to push east out of the western U.S. and into the Southern Plains.

According to the National Weather Service and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is a 30 to 60 percent probability that temperatures from Tuesday through the following Monday will trend above normal across much of Oklahoma. The warm signal is strongest across western Oklahoma and the Panhandle, then tapers slightly eastward toward central and eastern parts of the state, including Oklahoma City and Tulsa.

Daytime highs across central Oklahoma may climb into the 50s at times, with western sections occasionally pushing a bit warmer during the afternoons. Overnight lows will remain seasonably cool, often falling into the 20s and 30s, which keeps winter impacts in play despite milder daytime conditions.

Northern Oklahoma sits closer to the transition zone between Plains cold and western warmth, increasing the potential for temperature swings depending on frontal timing. The pattern does not indicate a sustained warm lock-in, leaving room for brief cool shots between milder stretches.

Precipitation chances appear limited overall, reducing the likelihood of widespread winter weather. Travel along major corridors such as I-35, I-40, and I-44 should remain manageable, though early morning frost and isolated slick spots remain possible.

Residents may notice afternoons becoming more comfortable, but confidence remains moderate rather than high. With Oklahoma positioned between competing air masses, additional outlook updates or advisories are likely as February progresses and the broader pattern sharpens.